Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DIA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.334437 0.366828 0.402122 0.443640 0.491401 0.544934 0.609917
2025-03-09 0.295447 0.336964 0.384803 0.444609 0.518247 0.607127 0.724366
2025-03-16 0.274010 0.322391 0.380715 0.457433 0.557603 0.686801 0.871032
2025-03-23 0.254441 0.307001 0.372754 0.463023 0.587032 0.756766 1.017045
2025-03-30 0.237064 0.292108 0.363155 0.464355 0.609766 0.819861 1.164962
2025-04-06 0.221102 0.277286 0.351745 0.461234 0.624911 0.873281 1.308450
2025-04-13 0.202580 0.257384 0.331458 0.443024 0.614964 0.886126 1.386769
2025-04-20 0.192909 0.248681 0.325746 0.445038 0.635484 0.949862 1.568618
2025-04-27 0.183912 0.240154 0.319416 0.445180 0.652593 1.010027 1.758731
2025-05-04 0.175682 0.232077 0.312986 0.444310 0.667545 1.068324 1.960828
2025-05-11 0.169227 0.226085 0.309097 0.446900 0.688402 1.140638 2.215503
2025-05-18 0.159182 0.214204 0.295441 0.432278 0.676940 1.148187 2.319576
2025-05-25 0.149208 0.202137 0.281111 0.415982 0.661781 1.148301 2.412532
2025-06-01 0.144425 0.197605 0.278194 0.418682 0.682208 1.226129 2.742346
2025-06-08 0.142247 0.196863 0.281139 0.431644 0.723862 1.358724 3.294275
2025-06-15 0.138756 0.193864 0.280192 0.437543 0.752233 1.467472 3.835432
2025-06-22 0.134706 0.189754 0.277121 0.439238 0.772095 1.560241 4.381111
2025-06-29 0.130158 0.184614 0.272000 0.436637 0.782415 1.631148 4.893009
2025-07-06 0.123405 0.175637 0.259919 0.419927 0.759873 1.609887 5.002134
2025-07-13 0.120348 0.172511 0.257652 0.421901 0.779434 1.709619 5.744281
2025-07-20 0.117187 0.169062 0.254617 0.422099 0.794943 1.801920 6.542385
2025-07-27 0.114063 0.165533 0.251242 0.421331 0.808080 1.890828 7.423972
2025-08-03 0.111621 0.163028 0.249529 0.423761 0.829290 2.011412 8.664885